Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.005910 0.006516 0.007142 0.007836 0.008582 0.009359 0.010229
2025-02-02 0.004904 0.005766 0.006701 0.007785 0.009004 0.010328 0.011871
2025-02-09 0.004288 0.005285 0.006405 0.007748 0.009305 0.011045 0.013128
2025-02-16 0.003932 0.005040 0.006322 0.007901 0.009777 0.011922 0.014543
2025-02-23 0.003535 0.004702 0.006089 0.007838 0.009964 0.012444 0.015531
2025-03-02 0.003241 0.004458 0.005940 0.007850 0.010219 0.013030 0.016587
2025-03-09 0.003105 0.004396 0.006002 0.008110 0.010769 0.013970 0.018074
2025-03-16 0.002910 0.004242 0.005932 0.008193 0.011090 0.014628 0.019223
2025-03-23 0.002763 0.004137 0.005916 0.008334 0.011479 0.015370 0.020479
2025-03-30 0.002637 0.004050 0.005913 0.008486 0.011878 0.016124 0.021760
2025-04-06 0.002409 0.003809 0.005691 0.008336 0.011875 0.016362 0.022385
2025-04-13 0.002260 0.003667 0.005594 0.008344 0.012072 0.016853 0.023333
2025-04-20 0.002068 0.003457 0.005400 0.008220 0.012101 0.017141 0.024048
2025-04-27 0.001921 0.003303 0.005276 0.008187 0.012249 0.017585 0.024974
2025-05-04 0.001784 0.003157 0.005154 0.008147 0.012381 0.018005 0.025867
2025-05-11 0.001717 0.003111 0.005173 0.008306 0.012787 0.018795 0.027261
2025-05-18 0.001593 0.002969 0.005042 0.008241 0.012874 0.019151 0.028077
2025-05-25 0.001500 0.002868 0.004968 0.008253 0.013068 0.019652 0.029092
2025-06-01 0.001477 0.002883 0.005068 0.008524 0.013633 0.020672 0.030824
2025-06-08 0.001412 0.002821 0.005047 0.008610 0.013933 0.021326 0.032064
2025-06-15 0.001365 0.002787 0.005066 0.008757 0.014322 0.022108 0.033489
2025-06-22 0.001323 0.002759 0.005094 0.008916 0.014728 0.022919 0.034963
2025-06-29 0.001217 0.002612 0.004922 0.008759 0.014662 0.023060 0.035504